DITO CME Holdings Corp. Technical Analysis
DITO CME Holdings Corp. registered a new all-time high on Monday, December 28, 2020, at ₱9.89 per share from its year-to-date low of ₱1.00 per share last March 19, 2020. Today’s Day Change is at 12.76 percent, with a total turnover value of nearly ₱1.4 billion. DITO closed at ₱9.81 per share.
Local traders and investors conspired to push the price higher. The foreign investors registered a Net Foreign Buying worth ₱51 million. They’ve been consistently registering a net foreign buying for the past three consecutive trading days. They are also net buyers year-to-date. I noticed that foreign investors have started to buy back in October 2020.
The bullishness of DITO is not a straight upward-moving line. My confirmed buy signal based on my Evergreen Strategy has been on and off. However, the absence of a confirmed buy signal does not mean the presence of a sell signal. At Equilyst Analytics, we only sell if, and only if, our trailing stop is hit. Therefore, it’s not impossible that some of our clients still have a position on DITO. It’s also possible that some of them already sold their shares when their trailing stop got hit.
There is a confirmed buy signal if the 10SMACD and Momentum Power Indicator of a stock are both bullish. Today’s DITO’s 10SMACD is bullish because the last price is moving above the 10-day simple moving average (SMA), and the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is trading above the signal line.
I’ll tell you the Momentum Power Indicator status of DITO once we reach my trade-volume distribution analysis.
DITO’s immediate support is near ₱8.88, confluent with 78.60 percent of the reversed Fibonacci’s retracement. If it falls below ₱8.88, we’re looking at ₱8.16 as the next support level, confluent with the golden ratio or the 61.8 percent of the reversed Fibonacci’s retracement. Meanwhile, I’m looking at ₱12.50 as the psychological resistance of DITO, which is confluent with the 61.8 percent of the reversed Fibonacci’s extension.
Furthermore, DITO is poised to cross the high-risk level based on its 10-day historical volatility score of nearly 70 percent. I’m referring to the erraticity of the price movement and not your risk tolerance when I talk about a stock’s risk level.
Also, I see another technical indicator that supports the bullishness of DITO. That’s the positive directional movement index (DMI) moving above the negative DMI, with the average directional index (ADX) scoring higher than 25 points.
Take note that these indicators that rely on historical data describe the present and not the future. So, watch your trailing stop always.
Trade-Volume Distribution Analysis
Last Price: ₱9.81
Intraday Low: ₱8.70
Intraday High: ₱9.89
VWAP: ₱9.30
Dominant Range: ₱9.81 – ₱9.85
DITO’s Momentum Power Indicator is also bullish because the last candlestick is green, the last price is higher than today’s volume-weighted average price, the last volume bar is green and is higher than the stock’s 10-day volume average, and the dominant range is closer to the intraday high than the intraday low.
DITO has a confirmed buy signal as far as today’s end-of-day data is concerned.
If and when DITO starts at a price lower than its closing price by the next trading day, watch out for the range between ₱9.00 and ₱9.20. That’s the other dominant range today.
True Market Sentiment EOD – December 28, 2020
True Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL
7 of the top 10 brokers registered a positive Net Amount
5 of the top 10 brokers registered a higher Buying Average than Selling Average
Top 10 Players’ Buying Average: ₱9.2946
Top 10 Players’ Selling Average: ₱9.2857
12 out of 96 participants, or 12.50% of all participants, registered a 100% BUYING activity
18 out of 96 participants, or 18.75% of all participants, registered a 100% SELLING activity
True Market Sentiment MTD – December 1-28, 2020
True Market Sentiment: BEARISH
5 of the top 10 brokers registered a positive Net Amount
4 of the top 10 brokers registered a higher Buying Average than Selling Average
Top 10 Players’ Buying Average: ₱8.4780
Top 10 Players’ Selling Average: ₱8.4714
0 out of 108 participants, or 0.00% of all participants, registered a 100% BUYING activity
5 out of 108 participants or 4.63% of all participants registered a 100% SELLING activity
It’s relatively risky for new traders or investors at this point since the stock has no historical resistance anymore. It’s risky because new traders are known to be emotional in their decisions, which is quite understandable due to the lack of familiarity with stock-specific behaviors.
The neutral True Market Sentiment for end-of-day and the bearish rating for month-to-date are friendly reminders that we all should keep an eye on our trailing stop regardless of whether we’re experienced or new traders or investors.
Recommendations
Suppose you already have DITO and your trailing stop is intact.
A. If you consider yourself a new trader or investor, I advise that you hold your position and do an upward adjustment on your trailing stop every time DITO registers a higher price. You need to have the time to monitor the price action by the second so you can catch those moments when you need to upgrade your trailing stop. Sell once your trailing stop is triggered. Average up as long as the DITO’s 10SMACD and Momentum Power Indicator are both bullish.
B. If you consider yourself as an experienced trader or investor, you may buy up within the dominant range, but be quick to upgrade your trailing stop when necessary. If you already watched our online stock market course at Equilyst Analytics, you should already know how, when, and why you should do an upward adjustment on your trailing stop.
Now, suppose you don’t have DITO yet. It would be best if you calculated your reward-to-risk ratio first. Since two of the variables you need to use are the immediate support and the psychological resistance of DITO, you might get an attractive reward-to-risk ratio. Please consider that the resistance in your formula is psychological and not a historical one. Don’t forget to be logical while being hopeful. Also, this stock is about to enter the high-risk level (erraticity rating). I advise new traders and investors to stick with low- to moderate-risk stocks until such a time that you are confident with your experience and skills.
What’s Next?
If you’re one of our clients, you may post your request for our complete analysis in our Private Clients Forum, so we can also tell you the status of the 10SMACD combo of any of these 10 stocks. Also, it’s best that you review or re-watch our online stock market course (either the English or Filipino-English version) so you’ll understand the core concept of this Trade-Volume Distribution analysis. Since our methodology is unique to us, you won’t find an explanation of our way of doing trade-volume distribution analysis on the internet but on our online stock market course only.
Let Me Mentor You So You’ll Learn How to Invest INDEPENDENTLY and Trade TACTICALLY
You will learn how to analyze stocks on your own (like I do). You will learn how to confidently and systematically execute trading and investment plans.
Click here to read the details of our stock market consultancy service.
Here’s what our clients say about us.
well-researched
I have been investing in the stock market for a few years now. I also enrolled in TRC when I started. Actually, it was thru their blogs that I was encouraged to invest thanks to them. However, I’m bored with long-term investment. I suppose I’m more of a risk taker when it comes to investment. I have a few investments mutual funds UITF gov’t bonds but honestly, I’m not really a well-learned investor I just have guts maybe and so far I don’t have any losses especially that the market has bounced back. It is in this regard that I’ve been reading your blogs to keep me more informed. I’m looking for somebody to guide me in my next stocks picks this time as a trader. I found your blogs very well researched and I’m really hoping you’re the one. I’ve quit TRC a few months back. Just a few more days and I will join you. Thanks for the emails. God bless
I always read you blog Jaycee because it's very informative.
I always read you blog Jaycee because it’s very informative.
Thumbs up for the information provided.
Thumbs up for the information provided. Must read for those interested in learning and gaining from the equities.
I love your newsletter it gives so much help.
I love your newsletter it gives so much help for a newbie like me in the stock market. Thank you so much and God bless u more!
Jaycee De Guzman's blog is one if not the most informative.
I am only starting to invest for the last two years. There are many blogs like this that I perused. However, Jaycee De Guzman’s blog is, if not the most, informative. I do not understand all of it but I try to. I want to keep on reading this. Thank you for all the assistance.
Your emails are very informative.
Your emails are very informative. Thank you for giving it to us for FREE!
All information provided are very interesting and helpful...
All information provided are very interesting and helpful…
Information provided by Jaycee was awesome!
Information provided by Jaycee was awesome!
point of view that could help you decide how to play your stocks.
Newsletters from Jaycee will definitely give you an insight on how the market moves every day and will show you a different point of view that could help you decide how to play your stocks.
The newsletters are very helpful
The newsletters are very helpful on evaluating the market and which stocks may be worth my attention. Keep up the great work. Thank you.
- MA, BDO, ALI, URC, PX: Is Their Dominant Range Pointing to a Breakout? - March 14, 2025
- Tracking Market Sentiment: MTD Ratings for 30 Bluechip Stocks (March 2025) - March 13, 2025
- PSEi Stalls Below 6,260 as Market Awaits Political Shift - March 12, 2025
