AC Energy Philippines Technical Analysis
AC Energy Philippines, Inc. went up by 13.33 percent on the first trading day of 2021 as it closed at ₱10.20 per share, with a total turnover value of nearly ₱665 million.
The local traders and investors occupied a bigger share in today’s price action since the foreign investors’ total turnover value is only at ₱101 million. The foreign investors registered a net foreign buying worth ₱40 million.
Note that over 2 million shares, with an asking price of ₱10.20, were stuck in the ASK spread as of today’s closing bell.
I see ₱9.00 as the immediate historical support of ACEN, while ₱12.85 acts as its immediate psychological resistance. This resistance is confluent with the 61.80 percent extension of the reversed Fibonacci. If it falls below ₱9.00, then ₱8.00 will be the next support level.
The foreign investors have been net buyers of ACEN for seven consecutive trading days. I also like the volume in the past seven trading days because they were all higher than their respective day’s 10-day volume average. That’s one of the few signs I look for to have a data-driven projection of the prevailing trend’s sustainability.
I also like the position of the last candlestick and the MACD. The former is higher than the stock’s 10-day simple moving average, while the latter is higher than the signal line. That makes my 10SMACD combo bullish.
On the other hand, due to the “hyperactive” upward-moving direction of ACEN for the past 10 trading days, you can expect the stock’s historical volatility to move up faster and higher than usual. As of today’s closing, I already regard ACEN as a high-risk stock due to its historical volatility score of 92 percent. For clarification, I’m referring to the stock’s erraticity and not your personal risk tolerance.
Meanwhile, DMI’s histogram shows that the bullishness of ACEN is still relatively strong. The ADX at nearly 58 points seconds the motion. Even though the technical indicators confirm the possibly sustainable bullishness of the price of ACEN, I still strongly suggest that you keep an eye on your trailing stop. The reward-to-risk ratio may no longer be that attractive, especially to newbies at this point.
Trade-Volume Distribution Analysis
Last Price: ₱10.20
Intraday Low: ₱9.15
Intraday High: ₱10.20
VWAP: ₱9.82
Dominant Range: ₱9.90 – ₱10.20
I give ACEN a bullish Momentum Power Indicator since all four elements of my proprietary indicator are bullish. You’ll know what those elements are, where to find them, how to read them, and more in the online stock market course that’s included in our stock market consultancy service.
True Market Sentiment – EOD (January 4, 2021)
True Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL
6 of the top 10 brokers registered a positive Net Amount
2 of the top 10 brokers registered a higher Buying Average than Selling Average
Top 10 Players’ Buying Average: ₱9.8135
Top 10 Players’ Selling Average: ₱9.8370
19 out of 96 participants, or 19.79% of all participants, registered a 100% BUYING activity
13 out of 96 participants, or 13.54% of all participants, registered a 100% SELLING activity
True Market Sentiment (December 1-29, 2020)
True Market Sentiment: NEUTRAL
6 of the top 10 brokers registered a positive Net Amount
5 of the top 10 brokers registered a higher Buying Average than Selling Average
Top 10 Players’ Buying Average: ₱7.0683
Top 10 Players’ Selling Average: ₱7.0375
3 out of 112 participants, or 2.68% of all participants, registered a 100% BUYING activity
9 out of 112 participants or 8.04% of all participants registered a 100% SELLING activity
Today’s and the past month’s neutral True Market Sentiment charts give us a piece of advice to not be blinded by over-optimism. I suggest that you translate the “neutral” rating as advice to err on the side of caution. Punch the fear of missing out with all your might.
Recommendations
If you’re a newbie who doesn’t have ACEN shares, I suggest that you use this stock as a case study on how to trade stocks that don’t have a historical resistance. ACEN is already a high-risk stock (erraticity-wise). I recommend stocks with a historical volatility score not higher than 70 percent (low- to moderate-risk stocks) for newbies.
If you already have a position on ACEN, you may top up within the dominant range. However, don’t bet all of your buying power because the neutral True Market Sentiment across two timeframes could suggest that some of the top 10 players are already brewing a selling-spree. You can say that it’s only speculation, but it’s a DATA-DRIVEN SPECULATION. My words are based not only on what I “think, feel, or believe,” but on what I see on my datasets.
Do an upward adjustment on your trailing stop every time ACEN registers a higher price. It’s either you reduce your risk tolerance to adjust your trailing stop or hold your position if the 10SMACD or Momentum Power Indicator turns bearish or once the prevailing True Market Sentiment rating for the day becomes bearish.
If you’re one of our clients, you may ask for our latest analysis on this stock’s 10SMACD, Momentum Power Indicator, and True Market Sentiment in our Private Clients Forum as trading happens.
What’s Next?
If you’re one of our clients, you may post your request for our complete analysis in our Private Clients Forum, so we can also tell you the status of the 10SMACD combo of any of these 10 stocks. Also, it’s best that you review or re-watch our online stock market course (either the English or Filipino-English version) so you’ll understand the core concept of this Trade-Volume Distribution analysis. Since our methodology is unique to us, you won’t find an explanation of our way of doing trade-volume distribution analysis on the internet but on our online stock market course only.
Let Me Mentor You So You’ll Learn How to Invest INDEPENDENTLY and Trade TACTICALLY
You will learn how to analyze stocks on your own (like I do). You will learn how to confidently and systematically execute trading and investment plans.
Click here to read the details of our stock market consultancy service.
Here’s what our clients say about us.
Information provided is very helpful
Information provided is very helpful.
very informative to many
I am always anticipating your analysis…very informative to many. Thank you…God bless you always!
very informative and easy to understand
I have been a subscriber of the Stock Signals free newsletter for quite some time now. I found it very informative and easy to understand. In fact, some of the investments I made came from your analysis. I’m actually saving to be able to subscribe to the premium Stock Signals.
I learn much
I learn much useful information from you that guide me in my trading.
Great tips. Thanks for lots of info.
Great tips. Thanks for lots of info.
Very informative and helpful analyses
Very informative and helpful analyses.
Nice and Excellent! Very helpful.
Nice and Excellent! Very helpful.
The more I appreciated stock trading
I just started learning stock trading. At first, I don’t know how to spot good stocks but with Sir Jaycee’s help, I was guided. The more I appreciated stock trading.
Highly recommended for others
Highly recommended for others and info is updated to the current stock market trend. Using your insights into my trading.
Your newsletters are very informative
Hello Jaycee,
Thank you so much! Your newsletters are very informative. Please make me a part of your distribution list.
Thank you again and God bless you more.
- MA, BDO, ALI, URC, PX: Is Their Dominant Range Pointing to a Breakout? - March 14, 2025
- Tracking Market Sentiment: MTD Ratings for 30 Bluechip Stocks (March 2025) - March 13, 2025
- PSEi Stalls Below 6,260 as Market Awaits Political Shift - March 12, 2025
